Inferència bayesiana

De la Viquipèdia, l'enciclopèdia lliure

La inferència bayesiana és una inferència estadística en la qual les proves o observacions es fan servir per actualitzar o novament per inferir la probabilitat que una hipòtesi pugui ser certa. El terme «bayesiana» prové del freqüent ús que es fa del teorema de Bayes dins el procés d'inferència.[1]


  1. Douglas W, Hubbard. How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business (en anglès). Hoboken (New Jersey): John Wiley & Sons, 2007, p. 46. ISBN 978-1118539279. 


  • Elementals:
    • Colin Howson, Peter Urbach. Scientific Reasoning: the Bayesian Approach. 3rd. Open Court Publishing Company, 2005. ISBN 978-0812695786. 
    • Berry, Donald A.. Statistics: A Bayesian Perspective. Duxbury, 1996. 
    • Morris H. DeGroot i Mark J. Schervish. Probability and Statistics. third. Addison-Wesley, 2002. ISBN 9780201524888. 
    • Bolstad, William M. (2007) Introduction to Bayesian Statistics: Second Edition, John Wiley ISBN 0-471-27020-2
    • Winkler, Robert L, Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision, 2nd Edition (2003) ISBN 0-9647938-4-9
    • Lee, Peter M. Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction. Second Edition. (1997). ISBN 0-340-67785-6.
    • Carlin, Bradley P. and Louis, Thomas A.. Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2008. ISBN 1-584-88697-8. 
    • Gelman, Andrew, Carlin, John B., Stern, Hal S. and Rubin, Donald B.. Bayesian Data Analysis, Second Edition. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2003. ISBN 1-584-88388-X. 
    • Pole, Andy, West, Mike and Harrison, P. Jeff. Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis, Chapman-Hall/Taylor Francis, 1994
  • Intermèdies o avançades:
    • Berger, James O. Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis. Second. Springer-Verlag, 1985 (Springer Series in Statistics). ISBN 0-387-96098-8. 
    • Bernardo, José M.; Smith, Adrian F. M.. Bayesian Theory. Wiley, 1994. 
    • Bretthorst, G. Larry, 1988, Bayesian Spectrum Analysis and Parameter Estimation in Lecture Notes in Statistics, 48, Springer-Verlag, New York, New York
    • DeGroot, Morris H., Optimal Statistical Decisions. Wiley Classics Library. 2004. (Originally published (1970) by McGraw-Hill.) ISBN 0-471-68029-X.
    • Jaynes, E.T. (1998) Probability Theory: The Logic of Science.
    • David MacKay. Information Theory, Inference, and Learning Algorithms. Cambridge University Press, 2003.  (On-line)
    • O'Hagan, A. and Forster, J. (2003) Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume 2B: Bayesian Inference. Arnold, New York. ISBN 0-340-52922-9.
    • Pearl, J. (1988) Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems, San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
    • Robert, Christian P. The Bayesian Choice. A Decision-Theoretic Motivation. second. Springer, 2001. 
    • Rowe, D.B. (2003) Multivariate Bayesian Statistics CRC Press ISBN 1584883189
    • West, Mike, and Harrison, P. Jeff, Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models, Springer-Verlag, 1997 (2nd ed.)

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